Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.878159 1.006509 1.146211 1.309450 1.494846 1.698752 1.939915
2024-12-15 0.735044 0.920327 1.139285 1.416622 1.758045 2.164119 2.683261
2024-12-22 0.599223 0.814392 1.088737 1.462947 1.958776 2.591810 3.459875
2024-12-29 0.505112 0.740904 1.063463 1.534518 2.202123 3.111239 4.439558
2025-01-05 0.413410 0.651671 0.999904 1.541988 2.359886 3.542095 5.373323
2025-01-12 0.350691 0.591166 0.964896 1.582027 2.568276 4.073660 6.532779
2025-01-19 0.287779 0.517204 0.895212 1.555279 2.668886 4.457773 7.528745
2025-01-26 0.254573 0.485283 0.886315 1.623224 2.929202 5.126312 9.070624
2025-02-02 0.229728 0.462803 0.888748 1.709516 3.232069 5.905217 10.905892
2025-02-09 0.200343 0.425816 0.858292 1.730657 3.421347 6.513203 12.528507
2025-02-16 0.173873 0.389081 0.821457 1.732564 3.573427 7.072511 14.137106
2025-02-23 0.152253 0.357906 0.789763 1.738371 3.732115 7.662531 15.879676
2025-03-02 0.133998 0.330813 0.762641 1.750955 3.910459 8.322833 17.868148
2025-03-09 0.120780 0.312506 0.751157 1.795102 4.161802 9.163995 20.339510
2025-03-16 0.105858 0.287023 0.719140 1.788185 4.301708 9.794379 22.460432
2025-03-23 0.096042 0.272182 0.709132 1.830227 4.557598 10.706058 25.308688
2025-03-30 0.084090 0.249200 0.675301 1.809302 4.663931 11.302463 27.539064
2025-04-06 0.076083 0.235205 0.661464 1.835618 4.887574 12.194426 30.562465
2025-04-13 0.066056 0.213242 0.622838 1.791358 4.929139 12.666011 32.661588
2025-04-20 0.061749 0.207256 0.626264 1.859764 5.269668 13.900919 36.764146
2025-04-27 0.058615 0.204214 0.637414 1.951424 5.685596 15.375638 41.648828
2025-05-04 0.053384 0.193311 0.623909 1.970896 5.908900 16.391602 45.499735
2025-05-11 0.048150 0.181194 0.604560 1.969998 6.075475 17.282133 49.139658